Market Talk
It's no secret to state the markets are volatile and have gone through a correction. Without touting the stocks we watch, if any of the readers have noticed, this site has been fairly on target through the recent tumultuous markets. However, it is prudent to watch on-going projections because the markets are forward looking by at least a few months into the future.
One thing to say is the future economic picture is kind of choppy and uncertain with tax import and export impacts on inflation. The Fed came out with the same word that inflation may be "transitory" again.
They used this to say that the target of two interest rate cuts may happen this year, but NOT right now. The markets have been responding by sector rotation from tech type growth stocks into more defensive long- haul stocks like consumer and energy. The NASDAQ composite index has corrected down about 10% for the year. As example Nvidia, the darling of AI and chip sector has corrected by nearly 20%.
Recently, some fairly well-known pundits are predicting further down turns to come in several sectors due to a recessionary style slowdown, possible stagflation with slower growth and increasing unemployment in the near term.
Stock Talk
With the above uncertainty in the market noted, it may be prudent to stay circumspect on some stocks that may be subject to market head winds. The following a snap shot view of some of the stocks we watch:
KTOS: The stock is trading on the lower edge of $30 today at 29ish.
In the near, KTOS seems a little vulnerable to a fade into the 20's. Since we've been watching KTOS in the 20's, perhaps trading some for a gain would be prudent move. The view here is that KTOS is a long term candidate to hold some, but if it dips back down to $25 ish in a continued lousy and uncertain market, KTOS may be a better buy. holding some, trading some KTOS may be the way -who knows for sure in an uncertain climate?
MO: Holding high dividend stock MO, Altria Group, and watching. Currently, MO is seeing the market return to perceived safety and value in this American consumer stock. see previous posts on MO.
KGC: Gold is surging over $3100. However KGC struggles to get over the $12 ish range. Holding and watching both KGC and Gold prices. The notion is that KGC should eventually respond by surging into the high teens. However, some hedge funds may be shorting KGC or other factors are holding it back. Holding some KGC and watching to see if it can get over the 12 hump may pay off in higher share prices. The high teens seem possible if Gold continues the run.
PR: Holding a few shares of Permian Resources (PR) and watching the Natural Gas situation as the world's needs for a cleaner source of energy may be increasing.
ASPI: This spec stock that has isotopes in the que with apparent orders on high value silicon -28. In addition, the plan to enriched uranium for TerraPower, a Bill Gates founded nuclear innovation company developing a Small Modular Reactor (SMR). There is some talk of ASPI spinning off the HALEU uranium section of ASPI to be further connected to TerraPower. This could result in new shares of the spinoff being distributed to ASPI shareholders. Holding a few shares of ASPI may pay off at a speculative some $4 range.
Dry Powder: Maintain some dry powder manage your portfolio according to your best views and interests to make some money!
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If you dare ... Stay tuned and aware ....
For now, we close by noting that any views on the market and stocks on any particular day may change in the future days to come. That is why we watch and see how our views match up with the reality of the time. But trying to look ahead a few months into the future may be a way to do things. If you think too deep about world events and the recent alliances forming, projecting ahead can be a dicey endeavor. In all - we use the word maybe "some", not "too much" and play it accordingly. Remember, never get arrogant in our various notions because things do change in the market and individual stocks are subject to many factors outside of our control.. So we try to -stay aware.
With all the above caveats and attempted prognostications, I will close this post. Stay tuned for more opining on the market and stocks to watch.
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